• May 20, 2010
    FISSILE MATERIAL
    S. Korea confirms North's torpedo sank warship
    Yonhap News by Kim Deok-hyun
     
    Iran rejects UN sanctions resolution draft
    AP by Ali Akbar Dareini
     
    Questionable China-Pakistan deal draws little comment from U.S.
    WP by Glenn Kessler
     
    Administration Officials Make Case for “New START” Pact
    Global Security Newswire by Martin Matishak
     
    White House: We never told Turkey the fuel-swap deal was enough
     
  • May 19, 2010

    By Oliver Bloom

    A mere day after the United States announced its plan to bring another round of sanctions to the UN Security Council aimed at halting Iran’s nuclear program, another, perhaps more dangerous situation is brewing on the other side of the globe. In late March, the Cheonan, a South Korean corvette, sailing in disputed waters near the North Korean maritime border, was rocked by a mysterious explosion and sank, killing 46 sailors. After a nearly two-month investigation, South Korea is set to officially blame North Korea for the torpedo attack when it releases the findings from its investigation on Thursday, having already briefed senior diplomats.

  • May 19, 2010

    FISSILEMATERIAL
    U.S., partners agree to sanctions on Iran
    WP by Glenn Kessler and Colum Lynch

    Proposed Iran sanctions face opposition
    AP by Edith M. Lederer

    Republican senators take a hard line on new arms treaty with Russia
    WP by Walter Pincus

    White House Pushes for Initial Steps Toward Mideast WMD-Free Zone
    Global Security Newswire by Elaine M. Grossman

    S. Korea briefs envoys of China, Russia, Japan on warship sinking
    Yonhap News by Sam Kim

  • May 18, 2010

    By Andrew St. Denis

    CQ Weekly has a great profile out this week on Senator Lugar, delving into the growing rift between the GOP cold warrior and more recent cadres of Senate Republicans. Detailing his role in past bipartisan arms control successes, the piece provides insight into the effects that today’s political climate may have on the latest arms control agreement to come before the Senate. It's behind a subscription barrier, so I'll only post a few excerpts.

  • May 18, 2010

     

    By Sarah Bulley
     
    Iran accepted a nuclear fuel exchange agreement with Turkey over the weekend that it believes will pave the way for an easing of tensions and cessation of sanctions efforts by the UN Security Council. While Turkey and Brazil may have negotiated the terms of this exchange, the deal is far from complete, as it needs to be accepted by the IAEA. Nonetheless, in light of these developments it was announced today that the P5 +1 will consider a new draft sanction resolution against the Iranian government.
     
  • May 18, 2010

    By Oliver Bloom

    As part of CSIS’s Global Security Forum, Dr. Clark Murdock, CSIS senior advisor and director of the Project on Nuclear Issues (PONI), moderated a panel entitled “Should the U.S. Continue to Reduce the Role of Nuclear Weapons in its National Security Strategy.”  He was joined by General Larry Welch, USAF (ret.), president of the Institute for Advanced Analyses, former Chief of Staff of the Air Force, and former Commander in Chief of Strategic Air Command ; Hans Kristensen, director of the Nuclear Information Project at the Federation of American Scientists; and Morton Halperin, Senior Advisor for the Open Studies Institute, former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense, and former Director of Policy Planning at the State Department. Murdock opened by asking the panelists a hypothetical question: in a proliferated world in which ten-plus countries have nuclear weapons, should the United States continue the current administration’s policy of reducing the role of nuclear weapons? In what ways should the United States adjust its policy in this changed world?

  • May 18, 2010

    FISSILE MATERIAL
    U.S. Is Skeptical on Iranian Deal for Nuclear Fuel
    NY Times by David E. Sanger and Michael Slackman

    In Risky Deal, Turkey Seeks Security, Trade
    WSJ by Marc Champion

    Major Powers Have a Deal on Sanctions for Iran, U.S. Says
    NY Times by Peter Baker and David E. Sanger

    S.Korea wraps up warship probe amid US backing
    AFP by Jun Kwanwoo

    Review Cites Flaws in U.S. Antimissile Program
    NY Times by William J. Broad and David E. Sanger

  • May 17, 2010

    FISSILE MATERIAL
    Iran Offers to Ship Uranium, Complicating Sanctions Talks
    NY Times by Michael Slackman

    NATO unveils draft of new mission statement
    AP by Slobodan Lekic

    India tests nuclear-capable missile: official
    AFP

    Iran fuel deal would not fix nuclear issue: France
    Reuters by Crispian Balmer

    Kremlin to Send Arms Control Pact to Lawmakers in June
    Global Seucrity Newswire

  • May 17, 2010

    By Oliver Bloom

    Much has recently been made about the effects of Iran’s possible nuclear weapons program on a nuclear arms race in the Middle East. Commentators point to Saudi Arabia as one of the countries that might feel sufficiently threatened by a nuclear Iran to begin the development of its own nuclear deterrent

  • May 14, 2010

    By Chris Jones

    There's no rest for the weary at DoD. After completing the Nuclear Posture Review, they had to tackle completing the classified 1251 report that would accompany the New START treaty up to the Hill. Yesterday, the treaty was submitted for advice and consent. As for the 1251 report, most of it is classified but the White House was kind enough to release a one page summary with two major points. First, it detailed what the force structure will look like under New START:

    • The United States currently has 450 intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) silos. The baseline plan will retain up to 420 deployed ICBMs, all with a single warhead.
    • The United States currently has 94 deployable nuclear-capable bombers. Under the baseline plan, some will be converted to conventional-only bombers (not accountable under the treaty), and up to 60 nuclear-capable bombers will be retained.
    • The United States currently has 14 strategic nuclear submarines (SSBNs). Under the baseline plan, all 14 will be retained. The United States will reduce the number of SLBM launchers (launch tubes) from 24 to 20 per SSBN, and deploy no more than 240 SLBMs at any time.

    These numbers show a good deal of the Administration’s hand on how they intend to reach the magic 700 launchers number. As Jeffrey Lewis noted, these numbers actually add up to 720 so the DoD still has some future shaving to do (or has figured out some clever counting) but the general direction is fairly clear.  While constituencies for each leg of the triad will inevitably grumble about any reductions made, 1251 could have been much harsher to any of the single legs than it was. It would not be surprisingly if the politics of the reductions had at least some role in shaping the outcome.

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