2010 Conference Presentations

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SPRING CONFERENCE

CSIS, WASHINGTON, DC
APRIL 8-9, 2010

Agenda

Panel 1 - The Future of the NPT and the Nonproliferation Regime

• Restoring the NPT, Deepti Choubey
• Nuclear Proliferation and Non-State Actors: Fashioning a New Regime, Sanhita Ambast
• Nuclear Renaissance: Addressing the Challenges of Nuclear Power Capacities Expansion, Natalia V. Saraeva
• Can the UK continue to demonstrate its disarmament and non-proliferation credentials having committed to Continuous at Sea Deterrence (CASD)?, Gareth Stevens

Panel 2 - Arms Control and Nonproliferation in South Asia

• Towards a New Arms Control Agenda in South Asia, Sébastien Miraglia
• U.S. Leadership in Addressing the Non-Proliferation Challenge in South Asia, Rizwan Ladha
• Engaging the Scientific Enclave in India towards Nonproliferation after the Indo-U.S. Civilian Nuclear Agreement, Saurabh Dutta Chowdhury
• Punishing Proliferators: The A.Q. Khan Network and Legal Obstacles to Prosecuting Nuclear Traffickers, Philip Johnson

Panel 3 - Outcomes and Insights from the PONI U.S.-India Dialogue

• Alankrita Sinha, Souresh Roy, Kanica Rakhra, Shubranshu Mishra and Yogesh Joshi, Jawaharlal Nehru University; Raja Karthikeya, Georgetown University; and John Warden, CSIS

Lunch Technical Talk - Developing and Maintaining Weapon Design Expertise in a CTBT Era, Dr. James Cooley

Panel 4 - Arms Control and Nonproliferation in East Asia

• Nuclear Factor in Sino-Russian Relations: Implications for the United States, Nikita Perfilyev
• China’s Nuclear Declaratory Policy and Operation Strategy, Tong Zhao
• North Korean Proliferation Risks after Kim Jong Il: Assessing Future Scenarios, Sico van der Meer
• Nonproliferation Challenges in East Asia: Development of Strategic Trade Controls, Togzhan Kassenova

Panel 5 - Refining Approaches to Nuclear Strategy and Deterrence

• Understanding Saddam’s Non-Use of WMD in the Gulf War, David Palkki
• Nuclear Deterrence Theory Transformation in the 21st Century: the Middle East Case Study, Polina Sinovets
• European Missile Defense and the Future of NATO Burden Sharing, Thomas Young
• Balancing Assets and Liabilities: U.S. Primacy and the Strategic Utility of Missile Defense, Michael Mayer

Panel 6 - Technical Methods for Nuclear Material Detection and Analysis

• An Analysis of the Nuclear Smuggling International Technical Working Group, Richard Hagar
• Cosmic Ray Muon Scattering Tomography for Security Applications, Lindsay Cox
• Ultra-High Resolution Alpha Spectrometers, Alexander Plionis
• Nuclear Forensic Analysis and Data Interpretation, Theodore Nichols

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SUMMER CONFERENCE

SANDIA NATIONAL LABORATORIES, ALBUQUERQUE, NM
JULY 22-23, 2010

Agenda

Panel 1 - Addressing the Nuclear Security Challenges Posed by Non-State Actors

• UNSCR 1540: Cooperation and Capacity Building, David C. Maness
• Turning 1540 Obligations into Reality, Vonda Delawie
• Deterring Radiological Terrorism, Jasper Pandza

Panel 2 - Perspectives on the Future of Nonproliferation and Disarmament

• How the Nature of Iran’s Regime Influences its Approach to the IAEA and NPT Compliance, Emily Cura Saunders
• Resolving Tensions among Sanctions, Export Controls and the Political Liberalization of Iran, Margarita Zolotova
• The Nuclear Posture Review and Getting to Zero: Are we safer?, Nancy E. Brune
• Retrospective on the 2010 NPT Review Conference, Scott Davis

Panel 3 - Aligning Technical Capabilities and Nuclear Policy Goals

• The CTBT and Zero Yield: A Technical Perspective , Daniel J. Dorsey
• Assessing Predictive Capability: Stockpile Stewardship and the Scientific Method, Steve MacLaren
• Nuclear Forensics: Information-Sharing Barriers and Mechanisms to Overcome Them, Daniela Helfet
• Towards a Mutually Reinforcing Future: Opportunities to Integrate Nuclear Weapons Stewardship and Arms Control Objectives, Lani Miyoshi Sanders 

Panel 4 - Nuclear Weapons and Strategic Competition

• Dividing by Zero: Is a nuclear free world an impossible operation?, Col Melvin Deaile
• The Future of the Nuclear Triad Concept and New Nuclear Weapons States, Raja Karthikeya
• Chinese Mobile Ballistic Missiles: Implications for U.S. Counterforce Operations, Matthew Hallex
• Nuclear Superiority or the Balance of Resolve? Explaining Nuclear Crisis Outcomes, Matthew Kroenig

Panel 5 - Nuclear Arms Control Opportunities and Constraints

• The Next Vanguard of Disarmament: Tactical Nuclear Weapons in Europe, Amanda Tuninetti
• Renegotiating the INF Treaty: Dangerous Mistakes, Improbabilities, and Bright Possibilities for the Future, Stacy Durr
• The Economics of Deterrence: Towards an Economic Framework to Determine if Nuclear Deterrence is More Economical than Conventional Deterrence, Drake Warren

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FALL CONFERENCE  

ATOMIC WEAPONS ESTABLISHMENT, ALDERMASTON, UNITED KINGDOM
SEPTEMBER 21-22, 2010

Agenda

Panel 1 - Meeting Nonproliferation Challenges

• Missed Opportunity: the EU’s Handling of the Iranian Nuclear Crisis, Mr. Paul Gould
• Towards a Verified Middle East Weapons of Mass Destruction Free Zone: Challenges, Opportunities, and Next Steps, Mr. Foy Hubert
• The Proliferation Resistant Reactor, Dr. John Adams

Panel 2 - Perspectives on Extended Deterrence and Assurance  

• Do Nuclear Security Assurances Curb Proliferation?, Dr. Philipp Bleek
• Non-Strategic Nuclear Weapons and NATO’s Strategic Concept Review, Mr. Grant Schneider
• Underwriting Security Commitments without Reinforcing Perceptions of Nuclear Need, Mr. Mark Jansson 

Panel 3 – Nuclear Aspects of Terrorism and Counterterrorism  

• The Unpredictable and Nuclear Devices, Dr. Steve Hughes
• Understanding the Nuclear Threat: The Integration of Science with Policy and Governance, Mr. Dan Dalton
• Nuclear Weapon Technology Close Kin: How the Non-Proliferation and Nuclear Counterterrorism Programs Leverage the Nuclear Weapons Complex Facilities and Expertise, Mr. Matt Cowan

Policy Talk - Trident: Beyond CASD and Strategic Stability,Prof. John Simpson

Panel 4 – Mapping New Directions for the Nuclear Enterprise

• Towards an Integrated Nuclear, Space and Cyber Policy Framework, Mr. Jason Wood
• The Nuclear Weapons Budget: How Much is Enough?, Mr. Stephen I. Schwartz
• Weapons Design vs. Weapons Maintenance: Are we looking for the right people?, Mr. Joel B. Forrester 

Panel 5 - Thinking Ahead about Strategic Stability  

• Getting the Balance Right: U.S. Missile Defense and Nonproliferation, Mr. Andrew Futter
• Missile Defense and Future US-Russian Arms Control, Mr. John Warden
• Indian Nuclear Force Modernization and Implications for Strategic Stability, Mr. Frank O’Donnell
• Nuclear Crises, Mr. Paul Burton

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2010 CAPSTONE CONFERENCE

OFFUTT AFB, NE
OCTOBER 27, 2010

Panel 1 - Nuclear Strategy for the Changing Security Environment

• Seeing Deterrence through the Lens of Conflict Resolution, Mark Jansson
• Chinese Mobile Ballistic Missiles: Implications for U.S. Counterforce Operations, Matthew Hallex
• Non-Strategic Nuclear Weapons and NATO’s Strategic Concept Review, Grant Schneider
• Balancing Assets and Liabilities: U.S. Primacy and the Strategic Utility of Missile Defense, Michael Mayer
• Understanding Saddam’s Non-Use of WMD in the Gulf War, David Palkki

Next Steps in Bilateral Arms Control: Preliminary Findings of the PONI Next Generation Working Group, James Acton and Michael Gerson

Panel 2 - Nuclear Proliferation Drivers and Constraints

• The Nuclear Posture Review and Getting to Zero: Are We Safer?, Nancy E. Brune
• Engaging the Scientific Enclave in India towards Nonproliferation after the Indo-U.S. Civilian Nuclear Agreement, Saurabh Dutta Chowdhury
• The Proliferation Resistant Reactor, John Adams
• Punishing Proliferators: The A.Q. Khan Network and Legal Obstacles to Prosecuting Nuclear Traffickers, Philip Johnson

Panel 3 - Responding to the Threat of Nuclear Terrorism

• Understanding the Nuclear Threat: The Integration of Science with Policy and Governance, Brooke Samples, Jay Tilden, Daniel Dalton, and Anne Marvin
• Cosmic Ray Muon Scattering Tomography for Security Applications, Lindsay Cox
• Nuclear Forensic Analysis and Data Interpretation, Theodore Nichols
• Nuclear Forensics: Information-Sharing Barriers and Mechanisms to Overcome Them, Daniela Helfet

Panel 4: Technical Challenges for Stockpile Sustainment and Nuclear Security

• Developing and Maintaining Weapon Design Expertise in a CTBT Era, James Cooley
• The CTBT and Zero Yield: A Technical Perspective, Daniel J. Dorsey
• Nuclear Weapon Technology Close Kin: How the Non-Proliferation and Nuclear Counterterrorism Programs Leverage the Nuclear Weapons Complex Facilities and Expertise, Matt Cowan
• The UK Choice, Richard White

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