2011 Conference Presentations

SPRING CONFERENCE

NEVADA SUPPORT FACILITY, LAS VEGAS, NV

APRIL 4-6, 2011

Agenda

Panel 1 - Future Scenarios for Nuclear Strategists and Policymakers

The Threat that Leaves Something to Chance in U.S.-China Relations, Vincent Manzo
Then and Now: Australian perspectives on Extended Nuclear Deterrence, Christine Leah
Tracking a Nuclear al Qaeda, Kristen Hajduk

Panel 2 - Future Nuclear Requirements and Capabilities

Qualitative Considerations of Nuclear Forces for Future Arms Control Negotiations, Tom Devine and Rebecca Gibbons
Increasing the Scope of Targets: Requirements and a Proposed Solution, Drake Warren
Are Conventional Weapons a Viable Option for Damage Limitation Operations against
Medium-sized Nuclear-armed Adversaries? Tong Zhao

Panel 3 - Verification and Detection Challenges

The Challenges of Verifiable Nuclear Warhead Dismantlement, Guy Earle
Managed Access: Addressing the Technical Problems Associated with Verifying Actual Warhead Reductions, Foy Hubert
Verification Challenges at Low Numbers, Paul Booker
The Challenge of Knowledge Transfer among Key Technical Areas and between Generations, Brian Ticknor

Panel 4 - Expanding the Reach of Nonproliferation and Nuclear Security Efforts

Strengthening the IAEA: the Double Track, Sonia Drobysz
Paths and Limitations to Universalizing the Additional Protocol, Sarah Poe
Implementation of 2010 Nuclear Security Summit Commitments, Rob Golan-Vilella

Panel 5 - New Approaches to North Korea and Iran

Megatons to Megawatts: A New Energy Policy in North Korea, John K. Yi
Non-proliferation Policy in the Media-Dominated Political Environment: the Iranian Case, Margarita Zolotova

SUMMER CONFERENCE

CENTER FOR STRATEGIC AND INTERNATIONAL STUDIES, WASHINGTON, DC

JULY 7-8, 2011

Agenda

Panel 1 - State Calculations on Acquiring Nuclear Weapons

Red Lines in Coercive Nonproliferation, Daniel Altman
Military Tradeoffs as a Constraint on Nucler Acuisition, Gene Gerzhoy
Japan's Nuclear Hedging, Jithin George
Iran's Nuclear Strategy: Understanding Tehran's Acquisition Pathway, Patrick Disney

Panel 2 - U.S.-Russia Engagement on Nuclear Policy

Contextualizing and Engaging Russian Nuclear Policy, Alejandro Sueldo
Challenges in U.S.-Russia Nonproliferation and Disarmament Initiatives, Kate Svyatets
From START to Finish? Houston John Goodell

Panel 3 - Strategic Stability 1: Key Issues for U.S. Policymakers

U.S. Extended Deterrence to South Korea and North Korea's Unusual Belligerence, Sungmin Cho
Revisiting the Security/Insecurity Paradox in a Sino-American Context: The Challenge of a Bilateral Dialog on Strategic Stability, Jean-Loup Samaan
Why we Should Study Developing Nuclear Earth Penetrators - And Why They are Actually Stabilizing, Elbridge Colby

Panel 4 - Strategic Stability 2: South Asia Dynamics

Stability in South Asia: The Nuclear-Conventional Intersection, Vipin Narang
China, India, and Cruise Missiles, Kalyan M. Kemburi

Panel 5 - Examining the Legal Instruments of Nonproliferation and Arms Control

Superpower Collusion and the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty, Jane Vaynman
Disarmament Under the NPT: Article VI in the 21st Century, Paul Kiernan
Negotiating Divorce: Withdrawing from Arms Control Treaties, Thomas Schafbuch

Panel 6 - Preventing Proliferation While Meeting Nuclear Energy Demands

The Next Generation of 123 Agreements, Laura Berzak
Transnational Networks and Nonproliferation: Strengthening the Multilateral Nuclear Export Control Regime, Michael M. Lieberman
Countering Proliferation Finance: An Essential but Undervalued Compnent of the Nonproliferation Regime, Javier Serrat

Panel 7 - New Tools and Methods for Arms Control and Nonproliferation

Nuclear Ionization Quenching Measurement in a Duel-Phase Argon Detector, Michael Foxe
Institutionalizing Commitment Tracking in the Nuclear Security Summit Process, Sarah Williams
A Proof-of-Concept Game Theoretic Model for Optimal Inspection Strategy Determination, Rebecca Ward

FALL CONFERENCE

LAWRENCE LIVERMORE NATIONAL LABORATORY, LIVERMORE, CA

SEPTEMBER 7-8, 2011

Agenda

Panel 1 - Stockpile Sustainment and the Future of the Nuclear Enterprise

Stockpile Stewardship and Beyond: Why Science is Important to the U.S. Nuclear Deterrent, Matt Cowan
Overview of Weapons Enterprise Transformation and Mathematical Assessment Tools, Carol Meyers
An Overview of Nuclear Detonation Safety, Raymond Wolfgang

Panel 2 - Nuclear Forensics Science and Technology

Panel 3 - Improving Nuclear Security While Expanding Access to Nuclear Energy

Refining Multilateral Nuclear Approaches to Achieve Nonproliferation and Fuel Assurance Goals, Peter Hong
The Thorium Fuel Cycle: A Proliferation-Resistance Focus Shift for the Future, Matthew Duchene
Developing a ‘Whole of Government’ Approach to Improving the Global Nuclear Detection Architecture, Kimberly Proctor
Characterization of Uranium Oxyfluoride Particles for Nuclear Safeguards, Ruth Kips

Panel 4 - Enhancing Monitoring and Enforcement to Counter Nuclear Threats

The Stigmatization of Nuclear Weapons: Implications for the Potential Transfer of Nuclear Material, Patricia Shamai
The Investigative Authority of the International Atomic Energy Agency to Conduct On-Site Inspections in the Second Nuclear Age, Kalman Robertson
Engaging Dual-Use Technology Manufacturers through Profit-Oriented Export Controls, Andrew Kurzrok
Assessing the Effectiveness of Covert Action in Counter-Proliferation: The Case of Iran, David Vielhaber

Panel 5 - Assessing Legislative Politics and Ways Forward for Nuclear Policy

How to Avoid a Dialogue of the Deaf on Nuclear Deterrence Policy, Zachary Zwald
Next Steps in Arms Control: Restoring Consensus on Nuclear Policy, Tom Karako
The Duma-Senate Logjam Revisited: Actions and Reactions in Russian Treaty Ratification Debates, Anya Loukianova
Building Budgetary Transparency and Accountability for the U.S. Nuclear Weapons Program, Stephen Schwartz

Panel 6 - Exploring New Dimensions of Nuclear Strategy

Extended Deterrence and a Nuclear Iran: Lessons from the Cold War, Tim McDonnell
The Strategic Effect of Indigenous Nuclear Fuel Cycle Capabilities on Regional Security, Tristan Volpe
French Strategic Posture since the Last Livre Blanc, Emmanuel Nal
Benefits of ICBMs to U.S. Nuclear Posture and Global Stability, Aaron Van Noy

Panel 7 - Looking Ahead to Future Nuclear Force Reductions

The Question of Nuclear Disarmament and the Enforcement Paradox, Dane Swango
Verifying Multilateral Nuclear Reductions: Balancing Verification, Transparency and Information Security, Sarah Elizabeth Cross
HEU Down-blending and Information Barriers: A Thought Experiment in South Asia, Jessica Bufford
Analysis of Nuclear Explosion Debris and Considerations for Verification, Christopher Ryan