Void of emotion or fanfare, German elites assume that over the next ten years the United States will experience a period of relative decline (militarily and economically) as China, and to a lesser extent India and Brazil, will experience a period of ascendancy.
Turkish elites and the general public retain a wary respect for American economic and hard power but remain dubious that this enormous capacity will be used in ways that will advance Turkish regional and global interests.
The following conversation derives from an online chat between Global Forecast editors and four CSIS scholars on the rise of China, India, Brazil, and Turkey.
The recent global financial crisis has been a huge headache for the West. Three years later, do China, India, Brazil, and Turkey look back at it as the beginning of an opportunity?
Imagine if the International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) in Afghanistan only consisted of 11 contributing nations as opposed to the 48 that contribute today. Imagine if ISAF had only 90,000 American soldiers at its disposal rather than the 132,000 troops and 37 European countries currently engaged.
Serbia and Kosova: Talks Need Political Targets
Turkish voters go to the ballot boxes on June 12, 2011 to decide if the governing Justice and Development Party (JDP), which has been in office for just over eight and a half years, will win its third successive general electoral victory.
In the fall of 2010, the CSIS Global Health Policy Center hosted three seminars featuring experts on regional politics, global health policy, and diplomacy to facilitate discussion, information exchange, and analysis regarding the linkages between health and foreign policy in key countries.
Over the past five decades, the United States, its NATO allies, and other European Union countries have been partners in maintaining transatlantic security and leading contributors to international stability and economic development.
Despite the fanfare at the time of its unveiling in 1999, the euro was a flawed monetary project of inharmonious fiscal policies and dissimilar economies void of fiscal unity. At the time, the euro’s systemic flaws were masked by German creditworthiness and exploited by profligate periphery states.
The members of the broad international coalition implementing the no-fly zone over Libya and military actions to protect civilians from attacks by the Muammar el-Qaddafi regime have differing interests, political sensitivities, and goals. Sustaining the coalition will require a difficult balancing act.