Program Related Publication Feeds

The Year Ahead

ian — Wed, 11 Jan 2012 00:00:00 -0500

On December 18, 2010, a police slap of a vegetable-cum-fruit peddler in the small Tunisian town of Sidi Bouzid triggered an “Arab Spring” that no one had forecast and that quickly spawned a long, dark Arab winter.

Abu Sayyaf Group

jdunton — Mon, 28 Nov 2011 00:00:00 -0500

Founded in the early 1990s as a Filipino Muslim (Moro) terrorist organization, the Abu Sayyaf Group (ASG) emerged as a more violent Islamist alternative to the stagnated political movements of the Moro National Liberation Front (MNLF) and the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF). ASG strove to create an independent Islamic state in the southern Philippines.

Jemaah Islamiyah

jdunton — Tue, 01 Nov 2011 00:00:00 -0400

Jemaah Islamiyah (JI) was created by Abdullah Sungkar and Abu Bakar Ba’asyir, two Indonesian extremists who fled to Malaysia in 1985. In exile, the two men began dispatching fighters to join the growing ranks of international Muslim volunteers seeking to repel the Red Army from Afghanistan.

Confronting an Uncertain Threat

jdunton — Wed, 07 Sep 2011 00:00:00 -0400

Al Qaeda and associated movements (AQAM) have become an increasingly diffuse security threat. Although the Afghanistan-Pakistan borderlands may have represented the epicenter of global terrorism in the past decade, al Qaeda’s various regional affiliates are growing in prominence.

Al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb

jdunton — Thu, 01 Sep 2011 00:00:00 -0400

Al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM) emerged from a decades-long militant Islamist tradition in Algeria. In 1998, the Salafist Group for Preaching and Combat (Groupe Salafiste pour la Prédication et le Combat, or GSPC) broke away from the Armed Islamic Group (Groupe Islamique Armé, or GIA) because of the GIA’s extensive targeting of civilians.

Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula

jdunton — Fri, 22 Jul 2011 00:00:00 -0400

Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) emerged in January 2009 from the union of two preexisting militant groups: al Qaeda in Yemen (AQY) and al Qaeda in Saudi Arabia.1 Both organizations included several combatants that fought against the Soviets in Afghanistan with Osama bin Laden.

Al Shabaab

jdunton — Fri, 15 Jul 2011 00:00:00 -0400

Al Shabaab is an al Qaeda-affiliated organization that has risen rapidly to prominence in the midst of Somalia’s decades-long anarchy. The group has experienced two dramatic transformations in its short history.

Global Forecast 2011

jdunton — Wed, 15 Jun 2011 00:00:00 -0400

What Bin Laden’s Death Means for Al Qaeda

ian — Wed, 15 Jun 2011 00:00:00 -0400

Intelligence exploited from Osama bin Laden’s compound in Abbottabad, Pakistan, revealed that the late al Qaeda leader exerted greater operational and tactical infl uence on the organization than previously thought.

Al Qaeda in Iraq

jdunton — Wed, 15 Jun 2011 00:00:00 -0400

Founded in October 2004, al Qaeda in Iraq (AQI) emerged from a transnational terrorist group created and led by Abu Musab al-Zarqawi. The original iteration of the group, Bayat al Imam, began in Jordan in the early 1990s. The group first associated with al Qaeda’s senior leadership in 1999 and fought alongside al Qaeda core and the Taliban during the U.S.

A Threat Transformed

jdunton — Tue, 08 Feb 2011 00:00:00 -0500

The Moscow Airport Bombing

ian — Thu, 27 Jan 2011 00:00:00 -0500

Russia suffered another serious terrorist strike this week when a suicide bomber, thought to be from the volatile North Caucasus region, detonated explosives inside the international arrival hall at Moscow’s Domodedovo airport, killing 35 people and wounding 170.

The Key to Success in Afghanistan

ian — Thu, 10 Jun 2010 00:00:00 -0400

One of the most promising ways forward for the U.S. and NATO in Afgha-nistan is to focus on removing the impediments to continental transport and trade across Afghanistan‘s territory. Many existing international initiatives from the Mediterranean to the Indian sub-continent and Southeast Asia are already bringing parts of this network into being.

Transnational Threats Update May 2010 - Vol. 8, No. 3

Tue, 08 Jun 2010 00:00:00 -0400

Transnational Threats Update March-April 2010 - Vol. 8, No. 2

Tue, 11 May 2010 00:00:00 -0400

The Transnational Threats Update is produced by the Transnational Threats Project and provides monthly reports and analysis on terrorism, drug trafficking, organized crime, money laundering, and arms trafficking. The newsletter draws on several U.S.

From the Ferghana Valley to South Waziristan

jdunton — Thu, 25 Mar 2010 00:00:00 -0400

Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan are active fronts in the wider conflict against violent extremism centered on Afghanistan and Pakistan. Although these states are less prominent in discussions about U.S. security interests in the region than nuclear-armed Pakistan, their stability is an important and unacknowledged component of the AfPak equation.

Transnational Threats Update January-February 2010 - Vol. 8, No. 1

Thu, 11 Mar 2010 00:00:00 -0500

Transnational Threats Update November-December 2009 - Vol. 7, No. 9

Tue, 19 Jan 2010 00:00:00 -0500

The Northern Distribution Network and Afghanistan

jdunton — Wed, 06 Jan 2010 00:00:00 -0500

The development of new northern supply routes into Afghanistan, termed the Northern Distribution Network (NDN) by the U.S. government, and the expanded U.S. presence in Afghanistan has had considerable impact on regional geopolitics in Eurasia.

The Northern Distribution Network and the Modern Silk Road

jdunton — Thu, 17 Dec 2009 00:00:00 -0500

As the U.S. presence in Afghanistan increases, so too will its demand for nonmilitary supplies. To accommodate this growth and address ongoing concerns with Pakistani supply lines, U.S.

The MAGAI™ Construct and the Northern Distribution Network

jdunton — Mon, 16 Nov 2009 00:00:00 -0500

The United States is pouring massive resources and risking precious lives of its soldiers in its efforts to stabilize Afghanistan, a part of the world most Americans could not identify on a map before 9/11. President Barack Obama has already increased the U.S. force presence considerably and is deliberating further increases in what may be the most portentous decision of his presidency.

Transnational Threats Update October 2009 - Vol. 7, No. 8

Tue, 10 Nov 2009 00:00:00 -0500

Transnational Threats Update September 2009 - Vol. 7, No. 7

Wed, 14 Oct 2009 00:00:00 -0400

Transnational Threats Update June 2009 - Vol. 7, No. 6

Mon, 13 Jul 2009 00:00:00 -0400

Transnational Threats Update May 2009 - Vol. 7, No. 5

Tue, 23 Jun 2009 00:00:00 -0400

In this issue:

Conflict, Community, and Criminality in Southeast Asia and Australia

ian — Tue, 23 Jun 2009 00:00:00 -0400

This report features a series of assessments drafted by members of the CSIS Trusted Information Network project on Southeast Asia (TIN-2). TNT created and operated TIN-2 to examine extremism and transnational crime in Southeast Asia and the surrounding region.

Transnational Threats Update April 2009 - Vol. 7, No. 4

Mon, 18 May 2009 00:00:00 -0400

In this issue:

The Power of Outreach

Thu, 30 Apr 2009 00:00:00 -0400

The U.S. intelligence community (IC) has made great strides in collecting and analyzing open source information. By contrast, the IC’s outreach to nongovernmental experts lags behind. Such experts are not integral to collection strategies, nor are they adequately leveraged by analysts. This shortcoming is a critical weakness in the United States’ intelligence apparatus.

Financial Power and International Security

Wed, 15 Apr 2009 00:00:00 -0400

As the new Obama Administration assumes power in Washington, it is an important moment to reflect on the evolution and use of financial information and power to affect critical international securi

Transnational Threats Update March 2009 - Vol. 7, No. 3

Thu, 02 Apr 2009 00:00:00 -0400

In this issue:

Transnational Threats Update February 2009 - Vol. 7, No. 2

Sat, 28 Feb 2009 00:00:00 -0500

In this issue:Al Qaeda Strengthening in Yemen?Hezbollah Strengthening in Latin AmericaU.S. Fears Homegrown TerrorLashkar-e-Taiba Distancing from the Global Jihad?Germany Under Threat5 minutes before startItalian …

Transnational Threats Update January 2009 - Vol. 7, No. 1

Fri, 30 Jan 2009 00:00:00 -0500

In this issue: Hamas Declares Victory After Gaza AssaultSri Lankan Army Captures LTTE StrongholdsNew Group Emerges in LebanonSuicide Bombing in IranAl Qaeda Affiliate Tests Biological Weapons?Smuggling …

FATA--A Most Dangerous Place

Wed, 07 Jan 2009 00:00:00 -0500

Increased militancy and violence in the border region between Afghanistan and Pakistan, known as the Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA), have brought this region into sharper focus, as U.S.

International Collaborative Online Networks

Thu, 11 Dec 2008 00:00:00 -0500

From transnational terrorism to avian flu, the contemporary challenges faced by the global community are growing increasingly complex and difficult to manage. This trend has been driven by several factors, with globalization and the proliferation of technology and information playing important roles.

Transnational Threats Update November 2008 - Vol. 6, No. 10

Mon, 08 Dec 2008 00:00:00 -0500

In this issue: * Bin Laden Aide Gets Life Sentence* Militants Raid American Convoy in Pakistan* Hindu Terror Cell Uncovered in India* Terrorism Trial Begins in Sydney* Jihadist Manual Encourages Deception*…

Transnational Threats Update October 2008 - Vol. 6, No. 9

Fri, 07 Nov 2008 00:00:00 -0500

In this issue: * Saudi Arabia Set to Try 991 Suspected Terrorists * Britain to Tackle Extremism in Schools * Al Qaeda Seeking New Bases* Protecting American Embassies * U.S. Airstrikes in Pakistan Yield …

Transnational Threats Update August/September 2008 - Vol. 6, No. 8

Tue, 14 Oct 2008 00:00:00 -0400

In this issue: * Al Qaeda Turns to Female Bombers * Appellate Court Overturns al Qaeda Convictions * Uyghur Separatists Threaten Chinese Security * Islamic Leaders Battle for Hearts and …

Transnational Threats Update July 2008 - Vol. 6, No. 7

Thu, 07 Aug 2008 00:00:00 -0400

In this issue:RAND Study Faults U.S. Counterterrorism StrategyLAX Plot Mastermind Released on Bail in United KingdomNine Suspected JI Terrorists Arrested in IndonesiaThe Privatization of the U.S. Intelligence …

Transnational Threats Update June 2008 - Vol. 6, No. 06

Tue, 01 Jul 2008 00:00:00 -0400

In this issue: The Intellectual Feud Over al Qaeda Al Qaeda Strikes Danish Embassy in Pakistan Venezuela Identified as Hezbollah Sponsor Near Collapse of Tamil Tigers Expected Within a Year …

Transnational Threats Update May 2008 - Vol. 6, No. 05

Mon, 02 Jun 2008 00:00:00 -0400

In this issue:Weakening Afghan Insurgency Bolstered by PoppyViolence Flares Up in SudanOil Worker Abductions in the Niger DeltaDrug Smugglers and SubmarinesDrugs Proliferate in UkraineDARPA Creating Cyber …

Transnational Threats Update April 2008 - Vol. 6, No. 04

Wed, 07 May 2008 00:00:00 -0400

In this issue: The Privatization of Maritime Security? Misha Glenny’s McMafia Organized Crime Recognized as Top Global Threat Head of Passport Counterfeiting Ring Arrested Researchers …

Transnational Threats Update March 2008 - Vol. 6, No. 03

Wed, 02 Apr 2008 00:00:00 -0400

In this issue: Russian Arms Dealer Captured in ThailandJerrold Post’s Book, The Mind of the TerroristChina Claims to Foil Terrorist Plot in XinjiangAttack on Embassies in Manila FoiledTurk Believed …

Transnational Threats Update February 2008 - Vol. 6, No. 02

Fri, 29 Feb 2008 00:00:00 -0500

In this issue: Drug War in Mexico Proving Violent, Ineffective UNODC Forecasts Bumper Afghan Opium Crop Human Trafficking Global Forum Held in Vienna Senior Hezbollah Leader Assassinated Gunmen …

Transnational Threats Update January 2008 - Vol. 6, No. 01

Mon, 21 Jan 2008 00:00:00 -0500

In this issue: Internet Users Ask al-Zawahiri about Jihad Leaders of Jihadist Cell Sentenced Three Plead Guilty to Charges of Terrorism Spanish Police Arrest 14 for Plotting Attacks Businessman Held for …

Transnational Threats Update November 2007 - Vol. 5, No. 09

Fri, 21 Dec 2007 00:00:00 -0500

In this issue: Al Qaeda Terror Financier Delisted by the United Nations and United States Members of Italian-based Islamist Network Arrested Top Islamist Killed in Algeria …

Transnational Threats Update October 2007 - Vol. 5, No. 08

Mon, 19 Nov 2007 00:00:00 -0500

In this issue:Former Terrorists Attack Violent Jihad Iranian-Backed Terrorists on Trial in Azerbaijan as Terror Arrests Ramp Up Chechen Terrorist Connection Found in Peru Mistrial in Muslim Charity Case …

Transnational Threats Update August 2007 - Vol. 5, No. 06

Sat, 01 Sep 2007 00:00:00 -0400

In this issue: Turkish Hijacker Went to al Qaeda Camp United States Considers Labeling Eritrea a "State Sponsor of Terrorism" …

Transnational Threats Update June/July 2007 - Vol. 5, No. 05

Wed, 08 Aug 2007 00:00:00 -0400

In this issue: · Raid on Italian “Terror School” · Attack on Spanish Tourist Convoy in Yemen· Suicide Attacks on …

Force Multiplier for Intelligence

Mon, 30 Jul 2007 00:00:00 -0400

The once seamless relationship between the intelligence community, academia, and the private sector seriously deteriorated at the end of the Cold War.

Transnational Threats Update May 2007 - Vol. 5, No. 04

Fri, 08 Jun 2007 00:00:00 -0400

In this issue: - Europe to Profile Mosques and Imams - UK Considers New Antiterror Legislation - Saudi Arabia—Morocco Antiterror Pact - 488 Muslims Lose Bosnian Citizenship - Spain Arrests 16 …