DPRK 'Collapse' Pathways: Implications for the Energy Sector and for Strategies of Redevelopment/Support

Newsletter by Peter Hayes and David Von Hippel

Published December 15, 2010

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Korean Unification - Working Paper Series

The prospect for the DPRK (Democratic People’s Republic of Korea) and its leadership is bleak. Kim Jong Il‘s health is poor, so a succession is conceivable, albeit off unknown probability. There is little chance that the economic poverty of almost all North Koreans will change for the better. The external powers will continue to squeeze the DPRK with sanctions, especially the United States. Hyperinflation is in the cards in the aftermath of the currency redenomination failure. External aid will be minimal so long as the nuclear weapons issue remains unresolved.

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Asia Korea Defense and Security Geopolitics and International Security International Development Energy and Sustainability and Governance and Rule of Law

Peter Hayes and David Von Hippel

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