The New Cold War in Asia?

Part of the Global Forecast 2011

The most likely crisis that the next presidents of the United States, China, and South Korea will encounter at some point after they each take offi ce in 2012 will be North Korean instability. This could occur as a result of the death of the ailing leader Kim Jong-il and a failed succession attempt by his not yet 30-year-old son. Or, instability could result from continued North Korean belligerence that escalates out of control.

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Victor Cha
Senior Vice President for Asia and Korea Chair