Global Trends and Forecasting
Global Trends and Forecasting
- NewsletterBy Lai Thai BinhJul 29, 2015
The visit of Nguyen Phu Trong, general secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam, to the United States on July 7-10 not only confirms the progress of Vietnam-US relations in the past 20 years, but also has important implications for the development of this relationship, given vibrant movements of regional and international relations now and in the future.
- NewsletterJul 28, 2015
Bonnie Glaser and Jacqueline Vitello sound the alarm for US policymakers regarding the stakes in Taiwan's presidential election next January. (PacNet #41 “Tough times ahead if the DPP returns to power?”)
- NewsletterBy Yun SunJul 28, 2015
On June 29, China and 49 countries signed the Articles of Agreement (AOA) of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB). The event signifies the successful establishment of the bank, moving the institution one step closer to the launch of operations before the end of 2015.
- NewsletterBy Benjamin HoJul 27, 2015
As a 10-member regional bloc representing some 600 million people, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) is generally viewed as a successful experiment in regional conflict regulation and cooperation.
- NewsletterBy Bonnie S. Glaser, Jacqueline VitelloJul 20, 2015
Taiwan’s presidential election is six months away, but it seems increasingly likely that the DPP’s Tsai Ing-wen will win. In a July 7 TVBS public opinion poll, Tsai leads the KMT’s Hung Hsiu-chu 54.2 percent to 24.6 percent.
- NewsletterBy Michael McDevittJul 9, 2015
Because the multiple Spratly sovereignty claims largely overlap, attempting to unscramble these claims is generally considered too difficult. What follows is one way ASEAN claimants – the Philippines, Vietnam, Malaysia, and Brunei – could reconcile their competing claims in the Spratly Islands.
- NewsletterBy Shirley KanJul 7, 2015
Just as President George W. Bush raised doubts with a much-criticized “freeze” on arms sales to Taiwan, President Barack Obama has raised questions about his adherence to the 1979 Taiwan Relations Act (TRA).
- NewsletterBy Robert SutterJul 7, 2015
After a decade reassuring the United States and China’s neighbors that it was not a threat, a major shift emerged in Beijing’s thinking with the much more active and assertive foreign policy of Communist Party leader and President Xi Jinping. Reassurance was played down; officials in China said it conveyed weakness.
- NewsletterBy Seong-hyon LeeJun 18, 2015
The problem with the current deadlock in Japan-South Korea relations is that both sides don’t feel too uncomfortable about it because they prioritize their relationship with the United States and China, the two heavyweight stakeholders in the region.
- CommentaryJun 11, 2015
The beginning of the monsoon rains in the Bay of Bengal and Andaman Sea, coupled with the international spotlight on human traffickers in the region, appears to have slowed the flight of Muslim Rohingya from Myanmar in recent weeks.