Global Trends and Forecasting
Global Trends and Forecasting
- NewsletterBy Mathieu Duchatel, Bates GillFeb 6, 2012
The dramatic rise in overseas travel and expatriate work by Chinese was punctuated by the recent kidnappings of Chinese workers in Sudan and Egypt. "Overseas Chinese protection" (haiwai gongmin baohu) has been a critical priority since deadly attacks killed 14 Chinese workers in Afghanistan and Pakistan in 2004.
- NewsletterBy Brad Glosserman, Brad Glosserman, Masamichi MinehataFeb 2, 2012
An important research finding in the life sciences has galvanized and divided the international scientific and security communities.
- NewsletterBy David J. KarlJan 31, 2012
There is a conundrum at the heart of the Obama administration's "pivot" toward Asia, at least as it relates to India.
- NewsletterJan 30, 2012
"All right China, come out with your hands up; we've got you surrounded!" When one reads about the US "pivot" to Asia, it is almost always cast in terms of countering China's rise, as if it - and everything else that Washington does in Asia - is always all about China. Of course, Beijing thinks it's all about China . . .
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Critical QuestionsJan 30, 2012
Early in 2011, food price riots helped trigger one of the most unexpected and significant events of the past decade: the Arab Spring, which saw the downfall of governments in the Middle East, the death of a long-time dictator in Libya, and ongoing strife in Syria and Yemen.
- NewsletterBy Zha DaojiongJan 25, 2012
One after another, Western dignitaries are traveling to Myanmar. A standard interpretation of the change in attitude is that Myanmar is finally demonstrating the courage and means to break away from China. But was Myanmar in the Chinese "geopolitical grip" in the first place?
- NewsletterBy Kyaw San WaiJan 24, 2012
The recent release of many high-profile political prisoners by the Myanmar government has been hailed as a firm step on the country's path toward democracy. While the effects of many reforms have not yet trickled down tangibly to the masses and remain largely confined to major cities and Bamar-majority areas, noticeable changes have undeniably occurred.
- NewsletterJan 24, 2012
One year ago, the protests in Cairo’s Tahrir Square proved that Tunisia was not a fluke. Until January 2011, Tunisia didn’t resonate much in the Arab world. It was too small, too Francophile, and too socially liberal.
- NewsletterBy Robert SutterJan 19, 2012
The 112th Congress will complete its term in 2012 marked by strong opposition to policies of President Barack Obama on government debt, budget cuts, health care, and other issues.
- NewsletterBy Victor Cha, Joseph Bosco, Carole C. Shaw, Evans Revere,Jan 18, 2012
I defer to the experts who are debating the likely and/or desirable near-term direction of North Korea's transition from the second to the third generation of the glorious Kim family. Victor Cha calls the stability prediction "optimistic" but worries that it won't happen because someone will do something untoward.


