Global Trends and Forecasting
Global Trends and Forecasting
- NewsletterBy Robert E. KellyApr 22, 2014
The conventional wisdom on US alliances in Asia, at least in the West, Japan, and Taiwan (but not necessarily in South Korea), is that they are broadly a good thing. Those alliances, we are told, provide stability. They keep China from dominating the region. They hem in North Korea and defend the powerfully symbolic South Korean experiment in liberal democracy and capitalism.
- NewsletterBy Jeffrey W. HornungApr 21, 2014
There is a tendency to frame President Barack Obama’s upcoming trip to Japan, South Korea, and the Philippines (also Malaysia) as a chance to back up his rebalance rhetoric to Asia.
- CommentaryBy Sarah O. Ladislaw, Anne HudsonApr 18, 2014
In 2011, the parties to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCC) agreed to establish a global climate agreement in 2015. In preparation for this 2015 summit to take place in Paris, it was agreed in Warsaw in late 2013 that governments should establish clear internal climate goals to present on the international stage.
- NewsletterBy Yang Razali KassimApr 17, 2014
Indonesia’s fourth parliamentary elections since the fall of strongman Suharto in 1998 have taken place without incident. Though the official results are expected only in May the contours of the new political landscape are emerging.
- NewsletterApr 16, 2014
In its East China Sea diplomacy, Taiwan has been creative and constructive. In August 2012, President Ma Ying-jeou proposed the East China Sea Peace Initiative (ECSPI) to manage rising tensions over the disputed islands known as the Diaoyutai Islands in Taiwan, the Senkaku Islands in Japan, and the Diaoyu Islands in Mainland China.
- NewsletterBy Arif Havas OegrosenoApr 15, 2014
There seems to be an obsession among political commentators in Asia and beyond that Indonesia has to admit that it is a claimant state in the South China Sea (SCS) dispute and, therefore, must surrender its role as a “mediator”. This is indeed laughable in the eyes of international law.
- NewsletterBy Dr. Vibhanshu ShekharApr 14, 2014
The heads of government of seven countries of South and Southeast Asia – Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Myanmar, Nepal, Sri Lanka, and Thailand – gathered in Naypyidaw, Myanmar in March 2014 for the third BIMSTEC (Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi-Sectoral Technical and Economic Cooperation) summit.
- NewsletterApr 10, 2014
On March 30, the Philippines submitted a memorial detailing its arguments and evidence against China’s nine-dash line and other aspects of Beijing’s South China Sea claims to an arbitration tribunal at The Hague. The 10-volume, nearly 4,000-page document marks a bold step by Manila, and one that Beijing seems to have believed never would actually happen.
- Critical QuestionsBy Kathleen H. Hicks, Ernest Z. Bower, Heather A. Conley, Jennifer G. Cooke, Andrew C. Kuchins, Carl Meacham, Richard M. RossowApr 8, 2014
In December 2013, the Pew Research Center released data suggesting that Americans’ views of U.S. power and prestige abroad had reached a 40-year low.
- PacNet #24A - Russia’s annexation of Crimea and its implications for East Asia: a Russian perspectiveNewsletterBy Konstantin SarkisovApr 3, 2014
Concerns about Crimea’s implications for Asian geopolitics are fair, provided that Asian countries strongly believe that the principle of non-violation of a nation’s integrity is “sacred” and they consistently abide by it. Reality is more complicated, however.