Global Trends and Forecasting
Global Trends and Forecasting
- NewsletterBy Dr. Vibhanshu ShekharApr 14, 2014
The heads of government of seven countries of South and Southeast Asia – Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Myanmar, Nepal, Sri Lanka, and Thailand – gathered in Naypyidaw, Myanmar in March 2014 for the third BIMSTEC (Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi-Sectoral Technical and Economic Cooperation) summit.
- NewsletterApr 10, 2014
On March 30, the Philippines submitted a memorial detailing its arguments and evidence against China’s nine-dash line and other aspects of Beijing’s South China Sea claims to an arbitration tribunal at The Hague. The 10-volume, nearly 4,000-page document marks a bold step by Manila, and one that Beijing seems to have believed never would actually happen.
- Critical QuestionsBy Kathleen H. Hicks, Ernest Z. Bower, Heather A. Conley, Jennifer G. Cooke, Andrew C. Kuchins, Carl Meacham, Richard M. RossowApr 8, 2014
In December 2013, the Pew Research Center released data suggesting that Americans’ views of U.S. power and prestige abroad had reached a 40-year low.
- PacNet #24A - Russia’s annexation of Crimea and its implications for East Asia: a Russian perspectiveNewsletterBy Konstantin SarkisovApr 3, 2014
Concerns about Crimea’s implications for Asian geopolitics are fair, provided that Asian countries strongly believe that the principle of non-violation of a nation’s integrity is “sacred” and they consistently abide by it. Reality is more complicated, however.
- NewsletterBy Youngshik Bong and James J. KimApr 2, 2014
President Barack Obama’s decision to stop in Seoul during his upcoming visit to Asia is wise given the toxic air surrounding Japan-Korea relations, fueled in part by vitriolic verbal volleys between leaders of these two countries.
- PacNet #26 - The end of strategic ambiguity: Indonesia formally announces its dispute with China in the South China SeaNewsletterBy Ann Marie MurphyApr 1, 2014
In a significant policy shift, Indonesian officials on March 12, 2014 announced that China’s nine-dash line map outlining its claims in the South China Sea overlaps with Indonesia’s Riau province, which includes the Natuna Island chain.
- NewsletterBy Yun SunApr 1, 2014
Debate over whether China’s rise is and will be peaceful continues. Chinese strategic culture seems to support the idea of a “peaceful rise,” not because of China’s peace-loving nature, but rather because it deems fighting as inferior and less effective for attaining a goal.
- NewsletterBy Euan GrahamMar 27, 2014
Moscow’s annexation of Crimea and continuing tensions over Ukraine are being felt primarily as a crisis in European and US relations with Russia. Yet Russia’s challenge to the international order has global ramifications that extend to East Asia. Implications for the region can be understood in terms of three broad categories: demonstration, distraction, and disruption.
- NewsletterMar 26, 2014
There are lessons aplenty for the United States and Asia as the Crimea crisis proceeds. For the most part, they are drawn with a broad brush: most crudely, Moscow’s annexation of Crimea is seen as the precursor of a similar land grab by Beijing.
- ReportMar 26, 2014
The unsustainable federal budget outlook will inevitably push entitlement reform to the forefront of the national policy debate.