Global Trends and Forecasting
Global Trends and Forecasting
- NewsletterBy Robert SutterJul 7, 2015
After a decade reassuring the United States and China’s neighbors that it was not a threat, a major shift emerged in Beijing’s thinking with the much more active and assertive foreign policy of Communist Party leader and President Xi Jinping. Reassurance was played down; officials in China said it conveyed weakness.
- NewsletterBy Seong-hyon LeeJun 18, 2015
The problem with the current deadlock in Japan-South Korea relations is that both sides don’t feel too uncomfortable about it because they prioritize their relationship with the United States and China, the two heavyweight stakeholders in the region.
- CommentaryJun 11, 2015
The beginning of the monsoon rains in the Bay of Bengal and Andaman Sea, coupled with the international spotlight on human traffickers in the region, appears to have slowed the flight of Muslim Rohingya from Myanmar in recent weeks.
- NewsletterBy Evelyn GohJun 10, 2015
The recent 2015 Shangri-La Dialogue focused on China, the United States, and maritime security. But those expecting fireworks in the wake of China’s new Defense White Paper and recent sharply worded speeches by US defense officials were left disappointed.
- NewsletterJun 8, 2015
In PacNet #30R, Robert Manning and James Przystup say they disagree with Brad Glosserman’s argument in PacNet #30 “that the Obama administration’s policy of strategic patience and openness to dialogue is not working and that accordingly we must ‘do something.’”
- NewsletterBy Robert A. Manning and James PrzystupJun 4, 2015
We appreciate both the frustration behind, and the intent of, Brad Glosserman’s “Launch the Perry Process 2” (PacNet #30) calling for a major review of US policy toward North Korea. But we respectfully disagree. As Karl Marx pointed out, history repeats itself, first as tragedy, the second time as farce.
- CommentaryJun 4, 2015
In April, the United States assumed the two-year chairmanship of the Arctic Council – an intergovernmental forum of eight Arctic countries and six indigenous organizations -- at a moment of great change and challenge for the Arctic.
- NewsletterJun 3, 2015
Since China first sent a senior military officer to participate in the Shangri-la Dialogue (SLD) in 2007, it has come to the annual security meeting prepared with a carefully crafted strategy to deflect criticism and advance Chinese interests. This year was no exception.
- NewsletterJun 1, 2015
Japanese Prime Minister Abe Shinzo’s recent visit to the United States was, by most (but not all) accounts, a success. While some may argue over which words he did or did not use, he essentially told his American audiences what they wanted to hear.
- NewsletterBy Sukjoon YoonMay 28, 2015
North Korea's claimed development of Submarine-Launched Ballistic Missiles (SLBMs) shows that Pyongyang has decided to meet the resolve of Seoul and Washington by doubling down.