Demography - Related

2012 Global Forecast

ian — Wed, 11 Apr 2012 00:00:00 -0400

India's Economy: The Other Half

NLombardo — Mon, 27 Feb 2012 00:00:00 -0500

This edition of U.S.-India Insight focuses on women in the Indian economy, particularly the issue of women in the workplace. Although the Indian economy has been an impressive engine for growth in recent years, a large percentage of its potential work force remains sidelined.

Critical Questions for 2012

ian — Fri, 06 Jan 2012 00:00:00 -0500

From international security and regional study to global challenges, CSIS experts will address many of the world's most difficult policy concerns and critical questions in 2012. To kick off the new year, we asked 25 of our scholars to identity what worries them most and what are the biggest opportunities in their respective areas of study.

Saudi Youth: Unveiling the Force for Change

dholodnik — Fri, 04 Nov 2011 00:00:00 -0400

The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia has been spared the unrest that recently swept many of its neighbors in the Middle East.

The Lessons and Challenges of September 2011 – the New "9/11"

sherry — Fri, 09 Sep 2011 00:00:00 -0400

Every American has their own story about 9/11. Mine is that I live a mile from the Pentagon, and had a meeting there cancelled the night before the attack. I came into my office in Washington early, and saw the Twin towers collapse before the aircraft hit the Pentagon. I missed the actual attack, but not the smell of electrical fires in the building.

A New Narrative for Mexico

cwatson — Fri, 05 Aug 2011 00:00:00 -0400

UP CLOSE: A New Narrative for Mexico

PROGRAM HIGHLIGHTS: Returning Government to Colombia's Post-conflict Zones

IN BRIEF: Canada, Mexico, Peru, Brazil, Chile updates

Global Forecast 2011

jdunton — Wed, 15 Jun 2011 00:00:00 -0400

Demographic Trends and Realities

ian — Wed, 15 Jun 2011 00:00:00 -0400

Many have observed that the recent global economic crisis is helping to accelerate the relative decline of today’s developed countries and drive the rise of today’s emerging markets. It is less well understood that demography is working in analogous ways, though over a much longer time horizon. Demographic change shapes economic and geopolitical power like water shapes rock.

Mexico's Economic Policy and Migration

jdunton — Thu, 12 May 2011 00:00:00 -0400

Mexican migration to the United States is primarily a result of inadequate employment opportunities in Mexico. Other motives for emigration exist, namely kinship relations in destination locations, but the primary motive remains economic improvement. Lack of opportunity for meaningful employment largely stems from stagnant growth in Mexico.

Global Aging and the Future of Emerging Markets

tpeter — Mon, 07 Mar 2011 00:00:00 -0500

The rich world may be leading the way into humanity’s graying future, but much of the developing world is not far behind. The CSIS Global Aging Initiative’s latest report, Global Aging and the Future of Emerging Markets, looks at the potential impact of shifting demographics on economic growth and social and political stability in emerging markets.

Global Aging and the Crisis of the 2020s

knakashima — Tue, 04 Jan 2011 00:00:00 -0500

From the fall of the Roman and the Mayan empires to the Black Death to the colonization of the New World and the youth-driven revolutions of the twentieth century, demographic trends have played a decisive role in many of the great invasions, political upheavals, migrations, and environmental catastrophes of history.

Global Aging Preparedness Index

ian — Thu, 14 Oct 2010 00:00:00 -0400

The world is being overtaken by a stunning demographic transformation known as global aging. Over the next few decades, global aging promises to affect everything from business psychology and workforce productivity to the shape of the family and the direction of global capital flows.

The Aging of China

mentman — Tue, 20 Apr 2010 00:00:00 -0400

Q1: Does China really face a major aging challenge like the United States?

Educating Globally Competent Citizens

jdunton — Thu, 15 Apr 2010 00:00:00 -0400

It is increasingly difficult for leaders to act in the short term in ways that will yield positive, long-term results. Instant information flows are bringing planning horizons closer and closer to the present; pressures from multiple stakeholders are eroding prospects for consensus. Are we preparing our students, the next generation of leaders, for this kind of flat world?

Unequal Partners

ian — Tue, 30 Mar 2010 00:00:00 -0400

Sidney Weintraub examines the current relationship of Mexico and the United States as one of sustained dependence and dominance. The chapters examine the consequences of this imbalance in six major policy areas: trade; investment and finance; narcotics; energy; migration; and the border.

U.S. Immigration Legislation

sherry — Tue, 23 Jun 2009 00:00:00 -0400

Q1: What are the main disagreements in the immigration debate?

PacNet #45 - The Guillotine: demographics and Japan’s security options

dfernandez — Wed, 17 Jun 2009 00:00:00 -0400

The next few months will be critical for Japan’s defense and security policies. The National Defense Program Guidelines (NDPG) that outline the framework for national security policy are due by year’s end. This in turn provides the foundation for the Mid-Term Defense Program, which translates that outline into specific programs and purchases.

Issues & Insights Vol. 09 - No. 10

dfernandez — Tue, 16 Jun 2009 00:00:00 -0400

Japan is in the midst of a demographic transformation. The country’s population has started to decline and is projected to shrink nearly 30 percent by 2055. The fertility rate has fallen well below replacement. The elderly share (age 65 and above) of the population is 21.5 percent, and will reach 38.9 percent by 2050, making Japan the grayest nation in the world.

China's Long March to Retirement Reform

Wed, 22 Apr 2009 00:00:00 -0400

中国养老制度改革的长征《银发中国》再探

knakashima — Wed, 22 Apr 2009 00:00:00 -0400

China’s Long March to Retirement Reform: The Graying of the Middle Kingdom Revisited warns that the aging of China’s population could usher in a new era of slower economic growth and mounting social stress as tens of millions of Chinese arrive at old age over the next few decades without pensions and with inadequate family support.

Latin America's Aging Challenge

Tue, 24 Mar 2009 00:00:00 -0400

Latin America’s Aging Challenge: Demographics and Retirement Policy in Brazil, Chile, and Mexico examines the economic, social, and geopolitical implications of the dramatic demographic transformation that is about to overtake the region.

South Asia Monitor: The Refugee Problem: Looking Toward Afghanistan's Long-Term Stability - December 10, 2008

Wed, 10 Dec 2008 00:00:00 -0500

Nearly three decades after the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan sent some 3.5 million refugees into exile in Pakistan, nearly 2 million are still there. The refugees’ own meager assets, lack of education and skills, compounded by Afghanistan’s lack of infrastructure to accommodate returnees, have made returning an unattractive option.

Japan Chair Platform: Will Japan Get Immigration Right?

Thu, 26 Jun 2008 00:00:00 -0400

In the past few years, the growing sense of demographic crisis in Japan has put immigration back on the agenda for its central policymakers. As well, efforts to conclude economic partnership agreements …

The Graying of the Great Powers

Fri, 23 May 2008 00:00:00 -0400

The Graying of the Great Powers: Demography and Geopolitics in the 21^st Century, a publication of the CSIS Global Aging Initiative, explores how population aging and population

South Asia Monitor: Sri Lanka- Peace Through War? - February 4, 2008

Mon, 04 Feb 2008 00:00:00 -0500

Sri Lanka is back at war. The Sri Lankan government’s decision to pull out of the 2002 Ceasefire Agreement (CFA) with the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) became effective January 16. Both the government and the LTTE are pursuing predominantly military strategies at a stepped-up pace.

Immigration

Wed, 24 Oct 2007 00:00:00 -0400

The Armenian Genocide Bill and the Turkish Reaction in Iraq

Mon, 15 Oct 2007 00:00:00 -0400

Tragic as the fate of the Armenians may have been in the aftermath of World War I, the fact remains that the issue is more than half a century old. Turkish-Armenian conciliation might serve an important purpose, as might any effort to reconcile Armenians, Turks, and Azerbaijanis.

Pandora's Box

Tue, 09 Oct 2007 00:00:00 -0400

The attached report discusses problems with the policy of encouraging "soft" partitioning in Iraq.

Political, Military, and Economic Dynamics in Iraq

Fri, 05 Oct 2007 00:00:00 -0400

The attached briefing provides an overview of some of the key charts and maps reporting on the Iraq War. It will be steadily updated over time.

Global Energy, Economic Interdependence, Iraq, and the Gulf

Fri, 21 Sep 2007 00:00:00 -0400

Alan Greenspan has triggered yet another wave of global suspicion that the US went to war to steal Iraq's oil for itself. This was not the thrust of his book, or his later remarks, but the net impact has been to focus the world's attention on the issue.

The Geopolitics of World Population Change

Tue, 10 Jul 2007 00:00:00 -0400

The Immigration Debate and U.S.-Mexican Relations

Mon, 25 Jun 2007 00:00:00 -0400

Immigration has become the most debated issue of domestic U.S. policy this year; while the theme is universal, Mexico will be more affected than any other country by the decisions the United States makes. It is evident from congressional discussions and the viewpoints expressed in the media that immigration policy is a fiercely contested subject.

Future Watch, May 2007: Navigating the Future: The People, the Plans, and the Policies Guiding Leading Organizations

Fri, 18 May 2007 00:00:00 -0400

As part of its mandate to address longer-term trends in the world, the CSIS Global Strategy Institute (GSI) dedicated its third anniversary conference to exploring various institutional strategies for …

The Aging of Korea

Wed, 21 Mar 2007 00:00:00 -0400

Korea is still a demographically youthful nation. In 2005, the elderly made up just 9 percent of the population, far beneath the developed-country average of 15 percent.

Global Aging and the Sustainability of Public Pension Systems

Wed, 03 Jan 2007 00:00:00 -0500

300 Million Americans: What Does It Mean?

Wed, 18 Oct 2006 00:00:00 -0400

Future Watch, August 2006: Assessing the Global Risk of Chronic Diseases

Tue, 22 Aug 2006 00:00:00 -0400

Recent events in the world of public health, including the International AIDS Conference in Toronto and the $500 million Gates Foundation grant to the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria, have once again catapulted the issue of global health into the public spotlight. However, chronic disease—an issue often neglected but equally significant to our strategic interests

Long-Term Immigration Projection Methods

Tue, 27 Jun 2006 00:00:00 -0400

Assumptions about international migration are an increasingly important component of the demographic projection module.

Future Watch, May 2006: The Changing Face of Risk

Mon, 01 May 2006 00:00:00 -0400

The list of major disasters—both natural and inflicted by humans—over the past 18 months has been nothing short of overwhelming. By now it is cliché to say that 911 fundamentally altered …

Global Strategy Institute Strategic Vision Award

Thu, 20 Apr 2006 00:00:00 -0400

The Strategic Vision Award honors leaders who, when faced with short term pressures and the difï¬?cult challenge of extending planning horizons, proceed to formulate creative and innovative approaches …

Water Makes Sense

Wed, 22 Mar 2006 00:00:00 -0500

Middle East Notes and Comment: Libya's Generation Gap

Mon, 27 Feb 2006 00:00:00 -0500

Libya is in a race. After a quarter century as a bête noire of international politics, fount of unpredictable proclamations, and supporter of innumerable liberation movements, Libyan policy has taken a decided turn toward engagement with the rest of the world.

Building Human Capital in an Aging Mexico

Mon, 04 Jul 2005 00:00:00 -0400

Today there are nine Mexican children for every Mexican elder—but by 2050, there will be as many elders as children.

Preparing for China's Aging Challenge

Sun, 01 May 2005 00:00:00 -0400

Watch Video >>

Projecting Immigration

Mon, 04 Apr 2005 00:00:00 -0400

Development and Security Initiative: Towards a New Consensus on Growth and Poverty Reduction

Thu, 03 Mar 2005 00:00:00 -0500

Following the a two-day conference hosted by CSIS, which gathered more than 75 policymakers and international development experts from the American and European policy communities, this issue of the Development …

Casualty Sensitivity in a Post-Soviet Context

Tue, 01 Mar 2005 00:00:00 -0500

Brief Summary of “Casualty Sensitivity in a Post-Soviet Context: Russian Views of the Second Chechen War, 2001-2004,” co-authored with Theodore P. Gerber, March 2005We address an empirical …

Aging China

Tue, 01 Feb 2005 00:00:00 -0500

Future Watch, July 2004: Paying for the Aging Revolution in China

Thu, 01 Jul 2004 00:00:00 -0400

Will China grow rich before it grows old? That is the question on many minds these days considering the demographic transformation about to unfold in the Middle Kingdom. Over the next 35 years, while China …

The Graying of the Middle Kingdom

Mon, 19 Apr 2004 00:00:00 -0400

By 2040 there will be 400 million Chinese elders—which is more than the total current population of France, Germany, Italy, Japan, and the UK combined.