Photo: Fadel SENNA/AFP/Getty Images
by Daniel Byman and Alden Ness
Gray Zone Activities
Photo: Artistic rendering of a stalking satellite. Credit: Bertelsmann Foundation and CSIS.
Cosmos 2612 is moving into position for close-proximity operations with a U.S.-registered commercial satellite supporting Ukraine. With a history of on orbit weapons tests and gray zone aggression, Russia may be betting the West won’t respond forcefully to an attack.
by Clayton Swope and Chantal Li — October 15, 2026
On China
Modern Warfare
Photo: Nico Vacca/Generated using Gemini and ChatGPT/CSIS
Cheap sensors and long-range fires have made it deadly to mass forces. This report argues that drone swarms can restore the offense when paired with a clear operational concept and explores how U.S. forces could use them in Kaliningrad, the South China Sea, and the Baltics.
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